| 1 |
- {"id": "5f166df00f20a46b1e023e1d15e05982134cbdb3", "text": "\u70df\u8349\u8d27\u6e90\u6295\u653e\u667a\u80fd\u5206\u914d\u6280\u672f\u65b9\u6848\n\n\u4e00\u3001\u9879\u76ee\u603b\u89c8\n\n\u672c\u9879\u76ee\u5206\u4e24\u6b65\u57fa\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e0b\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u7cbe\u51c6\u8d27\u6e90\u5206\u914d:\n\n1. **\u9700\u6c42\u5f97\u5206\u8ba1\u7b97**\uff1a\u91cf\u5316\u8bc4\u4f30\u6bcf\u4f4d\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u5bf9\u6bcf\u4e2a\u54c1\u89c4\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\n\n2. **\u6295\u653e\u91cf\u5206\u914d**\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u5f97\u5206\u52a8\u6001\u5206\u914d\u603b\u5e93\u5b58\u81f3\u96f6\u552e\u5546\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u79d1\u5b66\u4f9b\u8d27\u3002\n\n\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b65\uff1a\u9700\u6c42\u5f97\u5206\u8ba1\u7b97\n\n1. **\u6838\u5fc3\u6307\u6807\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e0e\u4e1a\u52a1\u610f\u4e49**\n\n \u4e3a\u7cbe\u51c6\u8bc4\u4f30\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u5bf9\u6bcf\u4e2a\u54c1\u89c4\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u9700\u4ece**\u9500\u552e\u6548\u7387**\u3001**\u62ff\u8d27\u79ef\u6781\u6027**\u3001**\u5e93\u5b58\u98ce\u9669**\u3001**\u672a\u6765\u6f5c\u529b**\u56db\u5927\u7ef4\u5ea6\u9009\u53d6\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u5b9a\u4e49\u5982\u4e0b:\n\n (1) **\u9500\u552e\u80fd\u529b (A)**\n\n \u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f:\n\n \\[ A = \\frac{\\text{\u672c\u5468\u9500\u552e\u91cf}}{\\text{\u672c\u5468\u9500\u552e\u91cf} + \\text{\u672c\u5468\u5e93\u5b58\u91cf}} \\]\n\n **\u4e1a\u52a1\u610f\u4e49\uff1a**\n\n **\u53cd\u6620\u5e93\u5b58\u5468\u8f6c\u6548\u7387**\uff1a\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u8861\u91cf\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u5c06\u5e93\u5b58\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u5b9e\u9645\u9500\u552e\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\n\n \u82e5 A \u503c\u9ad8\uff08\u63a5\u8fd1 1\uff09\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5e93\u5b58\u5feb\u901f\u552e\u7f44\uff0c\u5546\u6237\u9500\u552e\u80fd\u529b\u5f3a\uff0c\u9700\u4f18\u5148\u5206\u914d\u66f4\u591a\u8d27\u6e90\u3002\n\n \u82e5 A \u503c\u4f4e\uff08\u63a5\u8fd1 0\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5e93\u5b58\u79ef\u538b\u6216\u9500\u552e\u4e4f\u529b\uff0c\u9700\u51cf\u5c11\u5206\u914d\u3002\n\n **\u884c\u4e1a\u9002\u914d\u6027**\uff1a\u70df\u8349\u4ea7\u54c1\u5177\u6709\u4fdd\u8d28\u671f\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u9ad8\u6548\u5468\u8f6c\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u6ede\u9500\u635f\u5931\u3002\n\n (2) **\u8ba2\u5355\u6ee1\u8db3\u7387 (D)**\n\n \u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f:\n\n \\[ D = \\frac{\\text{\u8ba2\u5355\u6ee1\u8db3\u7387}}{\\text{\u9700\u6c42\u91cf}} = \\frac{\\text{\u6295\u653e\u91cf}}{\\text{\u9700\u6c42\u91cf}} \\]\n\u4e1a\u52a1\u610f\u4e49:\n\n\u8861\u91cf\u4f9b\u9700\u5339\u914d\u5ea6:\n\n\u82e5 D \u503c\u9ad8\uff08\u63a5\u8fd1 1\uff09\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5f53\u524d\u6295\u653e\u91cf\u5df2\u5145\u5206\u6ee1\u8db3\u5546\u6237\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5546\u6237\u62ff\u8d27\u79ef\u6781\u6027\u548c\u4f9b\u8d27\u80fd\u529b\u3002\n\n\u82e5 D \u503c\u4f4e\uff08\u63a5\u8fd1 0\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u4f9b\u8d27\u4e0d\u8db3\u6216\u5546\u6237\u865a\u62a5\u9700\u6c42\uff08\u9700\u7ed3\u5408\u5176\u4ed6\u6307\u6807\u6392\u67e5\uff09\u3002\n\n\u52a8\u6001\u8c03\u6574\u4f9d\u636e\uff1a\u9ad8\u9700\u6c42\u4f46\u4f4e\u6ee1\u8db3\u7387\u7684\u5546\u6237\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6f5c\u5728\u589e\u957f\u70b9\uff0c\u9700\u91cd\u70b9\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\n\n(3) \u5e93\u5b58\u5065\u5eb7\u5ea6 (I)\n\n\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a\n\n\\[ I = \\frac{1}{\\text{\u672c\u5468\u5269\u4f59\u5e93\u5b58\u91cf} + 1} \\]\n\n\u4e1a\u52a1\u610f\u4e49:\n\n\u53cd\u5411\u63a7\u5236\u5e93\u5b58\u79ef\u538b\u98ce\u9669\uff1a\n\n\u5e93\u5b58\u91cf\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u5f97\u5206\u8d8a\u4f4e\uff0c\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u8fc7\u5ea6\u5206\u914d\u7ed9\u9ad8\u5e93\u5b58\u5546\u6237\u3002\n\n\u516c\u5f0f\u4e2d\u201c+1\u201d\u7528\u4e8e\u9632\u6b62\u96f6\u5e93\u5b58\u65f6\u8ba1\u7b97\u9519\u8bef\u3002\n\n\u5e73\u8861\u77ed\u671f\u4e0e\u957f\u671f\u9700\u6c42\uff1a\u9ad8\u5e93\u5b58\u5546\u6237\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u8d44\u91d1\u5360\u7528\u6216\u4ea7\u54c1\u8fc7\u671f\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u9700\u4f18\u5148\u6d88\u5316\u5e93\u5b58\u3002\n\n(4) \u4e0b\u4e00\u5468\u9884\u4f30\u9500\u91cf (P)\n\n\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a\n\n\u4f7f\u7528 ARIMA + Prophet \u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0b\u5468\u9500\u91cf\u3002\n\n- ARIMA\uff1a\u6355\u6349\u5386\u53f2\u9500\u91cf\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u5468\u671f\u6027\uff08\u5982\u6708\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8\uff09\u3002\n- Prophet\uff1a\u9002\u914d\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u3001\u4fc3\u9500\u6d3b\u52a8\u7b49\u5916\u90e8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\n\n\u4e1a\u52a1\u610f\u4e49\uff1a\n\n\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u51b3\u7b56\u652f\u6301\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u9500\u91cf\uff0c\u63d0\u524d\u5206\u914d\u8d27\u6e90\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u201c\u4e8b\u540e\u8865\u6551\u201d\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u4f9b\u9700\u5931\u8861\u3002\u516c\u5f0f\u4e2d\u201c+1\u201d\n\u52a8\u6001\u5e02\u573a\u54cd\u5e94\uff1a\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6625\u8282\u524d\u70df\u8349\u9700\u6c42\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u81ea\u52a8\u63d0\u5347\u76f8\u5173\u54c1\u89c4\u7684\u5206\u914d\u6743\u91cd\u3002\n\n\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u9009\u62e9\u8fd9 4 \u4e2a\u6307\u6807\uff1f\n\n\u5168\u9762\u6027\uff1a\n- \u9500\u552e\u80fd\u529b\uff08A\uff09\u548c\u8ba2\u5355\u6ee1\u8db3\u7387\uff08D\uff09\u805a\u7126\u5f53\u524d\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5546\u6237\u7684\u5373\u671f\u8868\u73b0\u3002\n- \u5e93\u5b58\u5065\u5eb7\u5ea6\uff08I\uff09\u63a7\u5236\u5386\u53f2\u9057\u7559\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u8def\u5f84\u4f9d\u8d56\u3002\n- \u9884\u4f30\u9500\u91cf\uff08P\uff09\u5f15\u5165\u672a\u6765\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u52a8\u6001\u5e73\u8861\u3002\n\n\u53ef\u64cd\u4f5c\u6027\uff1a\n- \u6240\u6709\u6307\u6807\u5747\u57fa\u4e8e\u73b0\u6709\u6570\u636e\u5b57\u6bb5\uff08\u8ba2\u5355\u8868\u3001\u96f6\u552e\u8868\uff09\uff0c\u65e0\u9700\u989d\u5916\u91c7\u96c6\u3002\n- \u901a\u8fc7\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u548c\u6743\u91cd\u5206\u914d\uff0c\u91cf\u5316\u8bc4\u4f30\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u53ef\u63a7\u3002\n\n2. \u6307\u6807\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u5904\u7406\uff1a\u6d88\u9664\u91cf\u7eb2\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u6307\u6807\u53ef\u6bd4\u6027\u3002\n\n\u9500\u552e\u80fd\u529b\uff08A\uff09\u3001\u8ba2\u5355\u6ee1\u8db3\u7387\uff08D\uff09\u3001\u9884\u4f30\u9500\u91cf\uff08P\uff09\uff1a\u91c7\u7528 Z-Score \u6807\u51c6\u5316\uff08\u6297\u6781\u7aef\u503c\uff09\uff1a\n\n\\[ A' = \\frac{A - \\mu_A}{\\sigma_A}, \\quad D' = \\frac{D - \\mu_D}{\\sigma_D}, \\quad P' = \\frac{P - \\mu_P}{\\sigma_P} \\]\n\n\u5e93\u5b58\u5065\u5eb7\u5ea6\uff08I\uff09\uff1a\u91c7\u7528 Min-Max \u5f52\u4e00\u5316\uff08\u5f3a\u5236\u6620\u5c04\u5230[0,1]\uff09\uff1a\n\n\\[ I' = \\frac{I - I_{\\min}}{I_{\\max} - I_{\\min}} \\]\n\n3. \u6743\u91cd\u5206\u914d\u4e0e\u5f97\u5206\u8ba1\u7b97\n\n\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u8c03\u6743\uff08GBDT \u6a21\u578b\uff09\uff1a\n\n\uff081\uff09\u8bad\u7ec3\u76ee\u6807\uff1a\u4ee5\u5386\u53f2\u5b9e\u9645\u9500\u91cf\u4e3a\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c4 \u4e2a\u6307\u6807\u4e3a\u7279\u5f81\u3002\n\n\uff082\uff09\u8f93\u51fa\u6743\u91cd\uff1a\u6a21\u578b\u7279\u5f81\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u5373\u4e3a\u6743\u91cd \\( \\omega_A, \\omega_D, \\omega_I, \\omega_P \\)\n\n\uff083\uff09\u4e1a\u52a1\u89e3\u91ca\uff1a\n- \u82e5\u67d0\u533a\u57df\u5e93\u5b58\u79ef\u538b\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u4f1a\u63d0\u5347 \\( \\omega_I \\) \u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u81ea\u52a8\u5f3a\u5316\u5e93\u5b58\u7ba1\u63a7\u3002\n- \u8282\u5047\u65e5\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\\( \\omega_P \\) \u6743\u91cd\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u3002\n\u5f97\u5206\u516c\u5f0f:\n\n\\[ S = \\omega_A \\times A' + \\omega_D \\times D' + \\omega_I \\times I' + \\omega_P \\times P' \\]\n\n\u5f97\u5206\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\uff1a\u6620\u5c04\u4e3a 0-100 \u5206\uff0c\u4fbf\u4e8e\u4e1a\u52a1\u89e3\u8bfb\n\n\\[ S_{\\text{final}} = \\frac{S - S_{\\text{min}}}{S_{\\text{max}} - S_{\\text{min}}} \\times 100 \\]\n\n\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b65\uff1a\u6295\u653e\u91cf\u5206\u914d\n\n\u5206\u914d\u7b56\u7565\u8bbe\u8ba1\n\n\u603b\u91cf\u7ea6\u675f\uff1a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u54c1\u89c4\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u603b\u5e93\u5b58\u4e3a Q\n\n\u6307\u6570\u5206\u5e03\u5206\u914d\uff1a\n\n(1) \u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u5f97\u5206\uff1a\u5c06\u5f97\u5206\u8f6c\u6362\u4e3a\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\uff1a\n\n\\[ p_i = \\frac{e^{\\alpha S_i}}{\\sum_{j=1}^{n} e^{\\alpha S_j}} \\]\n\n\\( \\alpha \\) \u4e3a\u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570\uff08\u9ed8\u8ba4 0.8\uff09\uff0c\u503c\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u9ad8\u5206\u5546\u6237\u5206\u914d\u6bd4\u4f8b\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u589e\u957f\u3002\n\n(2) \u5206\u914d\u91cf\u8ba1\u7b97\uff1a\n\n\u6295\u653e\u91cf \\( i = Q \\times p_i \\)\n\n\u5206\u914d\u7b56\u7565\u4f18\u52bf\uff1a\n\n- \u5f3a\u5316\u5934\u90e8\u6548\u5e94\uff1a\u4f18\u5148\u6ee1\u8db3\u9ad8\u9700\u6c42\u5546\u6237\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u6574\u4f53\u9500\u552e\u6548\u7387\u3002\n\n- \u89c4\u907f\u5e73\u5747\u4e3b\u4e49\uff1a\u4f20\u7edf\u7ebf\u6027\u5206\u914d\u6613\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d44\u6e90\u5206\u6563\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u5206\u5e03\u805a\u7126\u6838\u5fc3\u5ba2\u6237\n\u4e8c\u3001\u4ea4\u4ed8\u6210\u679c\n\n\u9700\u6c42\u5f97\u5206\u8868\uff1a\u542b\u96f6\u552e\u5546-\u54c1\u89c4\u76844\u9879\u6307\u6807\u503c\u3001\u603b\u5f97\u5206\u3001\u7b49\u7ea7\u6807\u7b7e\u3002\uff08\u90e8\u5206\uff09\n\n| \u5ba2\u6237\u7f16\u7801 | \u54c1\u89c4\u7f16\u7801 | \u9500\u552e\u80fd\u529b A | \u8ba2\u5355\u6ee1\u8db3\u7387 D | \u5e93\u5b58\u5065\u5eb7\u5ea6 I | \u9884\u4f30\u9500\u91cf P | \u603b\u5f97\u5206 S | \u7b49\u7ea7 |\n|----------|----------|------------|--------------|--------------|------------|----------|--------|\n| C001 | P123 | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 120 | 82 | \u4f18\u8d28 |\n| C002 | P123 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 80 | 45 | \u4e00\u822c |\n\n\u6295\u653e\u91cf\u660e\u7ec6\u8868\uff1a\u9488\u5bf9\u6bcf\u4e2a\u54c1\u89c4\u7cbe\u786e\u5230\u6237\u7684\u6295\u653e\u91cf\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u76f4\u63a5\u5bfc\u5165\u4e1a\u52a1\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\n\n| \u57ce\u5e02 | \u96f6\u552e\u6237\u7f16\u7801 | \u96f6\u552e\u6237\u540d\u79f0 | \u54c1\u89c4\u7f16\u7801 | \u6863\u4f4d | \u6807\u7b7e | \u5efa\u8bae\u6295\u653e\u91cf |\n|--------|------------|------------|----------|--------|--------------------|------------|\n| \u4e91\u6d6e\u5e02 | C001 | P1 \u4fbf\u5229\u5e97 | P123 | \u4e09\u5341\u6863 | \u4fbf\u5229\u5e97, \u5c45\u6c11\u533a | 90 |\n| \u4e91\u6d6e\u5e02 | C002 | P2 \u5546\u573a | P123 | \u4e09\u5341\u6863 | \u8d85\u5e02, \u9ad8\u6863\u5546\u5708 | 80 |", "source": "olmocr", "added": "2025-05-17", "created": "2025-05-17", "metadata": {"Source-File": "olmocr_workspace/job_1747420686/input.pdf", "olmocr-version": "0.1.67", "pdf-total-pages": 5, "total-input-tokens": 10325, "total-output-tokens": 2016, "total-fallback-pages": 0}, "attributes": {"pdf_page_numbers": [[0, 612, 1], [612, 1096, 2], [1096, 1813, 3], [1813, 2332, 4], [2332, 3085, 5]]}}
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